Time on the job and succession
What national data shows about time in the seat, retirement and succession in local government.
Part of Workforce Expectations, one of the three shifts on What Changed.
What it means for the people a leader leads
The know-how a role needs passes from person to person.
Time in the seat, and the conditions beside it
The 2026 reading is counted a new way, so it is not joined to the line.
How it moved, and the figures behind the chart
It was 8.3 years in January 2016 and 6.4 in January 2024 on the earlier industry classification; the January 2026 reading of 5.4 is on a new classification the Bureau calls not strictly comparable. Private industry: 3.9 years in 2026.
Median years with current employer, wage and salary workers 16 and over, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
| January | Local government | Private industry |
|---|---|---|
| 2004 | 6.4 | 3.5 |
| 2006 | 6.6 | 3.6 |
| 2008 | 7.1 | 3.6 |
| 2010 | 7.5 | 4.0 |
| 2012 | 8.1 | 4.2 |
| 2014 | 7.9 | 4.1 |
| 2016 | 8.3 | 3.7 |
| 2018 | 6.9 | 3.8 |
| 2020 | 6.6 | 3.7 |
| 2022 | 6.9 | 3.7 |
| 2024 | 6.4 | 3.5 |
| 2026 | 5.4 | 3.9 |
Shorter time with one employer is not lower capability. The figure says nothing about skill, performance or readiness. The panels below are the conditions beside it, each a national series against its private-sector or all-employed comparison.
Tenure in state, federal and private employment, and the classification change
The median local government employee had worked for their current employer for 8.3 years in January 2016 and 6.4 years in January 2024, on the earlier industry classification. In January 2026 the median was 5.4 years under the new classification, which the Bureau says is not strictly comparable with earlier years. The figure covers every local government employee, schools included. In the same month the median was 5.4 years in state government, 7.0 years in the federal government and 3.9 years in private industry (Bureau of Labor Statistics).
How it moved, and the figures behind the chart
It was 45.7 in 2015 and 45.8 in 2019. All employed: 42.3 in 2015 and 2019, 42.1 in 2025.
Median age of employed persons, years, annual averages; 2025 is an eleven-month average
| Year | Public administration | All employed |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 44.9 | 42.1 |
| 2012 | 45.3 | 42.3 |
| 2013 | 45.6 | 42.4 |
| 2014 | 45.5 | 42.3 |
| 2015 | 45.7 | 42.3 |
| 2016 | 45.6 | 42.2 |
| 2017 | 45.6 | 42.2 |
| 2018 | 45.4 | 42.2 |
| 2019 | 45.8 | 42.3 |
| 2020 | 45.6 | 42.5 |
| 2021 | 45.8 | 42.2 |
| 2022 | 45.6 | 42.3 |
| 2023 | 45.1 | 42.1 |
| 2024 | 44.9 | 42.2 |
| 2025 | 44.3 | 42.1 |
How it moved, and the figures behind the chart
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Cost IndexBoth indexes stood at 100 in December 2005. After inflation, state and local wages in late 2025 sat about 2% below their 2019 level, and private wages about 1% above.
Employment Cost Index, wages and salaries, all workers, not seasonally adjusted, December 2005 = 100
| Fourth quarter | State and local | Private |
|---|---|---|
| 2005 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| 2006 | 103.5 | 103.2 |
| 2007 | 107.1 | 106.6 |
| 2008 | 110.4 | 109.4 |
| 2009 | 112.5 | 110.8 |
| 2010 | 113.8 | 112.8 |
| 2011 | 114.9 | 114.6 |
| 2012 | 116.2 | 116.6 |
| 2013 | 117.5 | 119.0 |
| 2014 | 119.4 | 121.6 |
| 2015 | 121.6 | 124.2 |
| 2016 | 124.1 | 127.1 |
| 2017 | 126.7 | 130.6 |
| 2018 | 129.7 | 134.7 |
| 2019 | 133.0 | 138.7 |
| 2020 | 135.4 | 142.6 |
| 2021 | 139.0 | 149.7 |
| 2022 | 145.6 | 157.4 |
| 2023 | 152.4 | 164.1 |
| 2024 | 159.2 | 170.2 |
| 2025 | 164.5 | 175.9 |
Consumer prices, the measure behind “after inflation” in the wage figures above
1982 to 1984 = 100, not seasonally adjusted. U.S. city average is the national average across urban areas.
The figures behind the chart
Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, all items, U.S. city average, monthly, January 2000 to August 2026, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
| Period | Index |
|---|---|
| 2000-12 | 174.000 |
| 2001-12 | 176.700 |
| 2002-12 | 180.900 |
| 2003-12 | 184.300 |
| 2004-12 | 190.300 |
| 2005-12 | 196.800 |
| 2006-12 | 201.800 |
| 2007-12 | 210.036 |
| 2008-12 | 210.228 |
| 2009-12 | 215.949 |
| 2010-12 | 219.179 |
| 2011-12 | 225.672 |
| 2012-12 | 229.601 |
| 2013-12 | 233.049 |
| 2014-12 | 234.812 |
| 2015-12 | 236.525 |
| 2016-12 | 241.432 |
| 2017-12 | 246.524 |
| 2018-12 | 251.233 |
| 2019-12 | 256.974 |
| 2020-12 | 260.474 |
| 2021-12 | 278.802 |
| 2022-12 | 296.797 |
| 2023-12 | 306.746 |
| 2024-12 | 315.605 |
| 2025-12 | 324.054 |
| 2026-08 | 334.980 |
How it moved, and the figures behind the chart
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, JOLTSThe same rate as in 2015 and 2019, after a peak of 1.1% in 2022. Job openings: 4.2% in 2025 against 2.9% in 2015. Private industry quits ran at 2.2% in 2025, a level from the annual table.
Percent of employment a month, annual average of monthly rates, state and local government excluding education
| Year | Quits | Openings |
|---|---|---|
| 2001 | 0.8% | 3.0% |
| 2002 | 0.7% | 2.8% |
| 2003 | 0.7% | 2.2% |
| 2004 | 0.7% | 2.2% |
| 2005 | 0.7% | 2.3% |
| 2006 | 0.8% | 2.7% |
| 2007 | 0.7% | 2.8% |
| 2008 | 0.7% | 2.5% |
| 2009 | 0.5% | 1.9% |
| 2010 | 0.5% | 1.8% |
| 2011 | 0.6% | 2.0% |
| 2012 | 0.6% | 2.2% |
| 2013 | 0.6% | 2.4% |
| 2014 | 0.8% | 2.7% |
| 2015 | 0.8% | 2.9% |
| 2016 | 0.9% | 2.9% |
| 2017 | 0.8% | 3.1% |
| 2018 | 0.8% | 3.5% |
| 2019 | 0.8% | 3.9% |
| 2020 | 0.8% | 4.0% |
| 2021 | 1.0% | 5.0% |
| 2022 | 1.1% | 6.0% |
| 2023 | 0.9% | 5.7% |
| 2024 | 0.9% | 5.1% |
| 2025 | 0.8% | 4.2% |
How it moved, and the figures behind the chart
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employer Costs for Employee Compensation36.4% against 30.3% in March 2016. Levels with their years; no trend is claimed.
Benefits as a percent of total compensation per hour worked, levels only
| Quarter | State and local | Private |
|---|---|---|
| First quarter of 2016 | 36.4% | 30.3% |
| First quarter of 2026 | 38.5% | 30.1% |
What the wage and separation figures do and do not say
Wages are a condition beside the shorter tenure, not a measured cause of it. The benefits share is what governments spend on health care and retirement; it is not a judgment on the people who receive it. Advocacy groups on each side read these wages differently. The Economic Policy Institute, which is labor-aligned, finds state and local workers’ wages and total compensation below those of similarly educated private workers. The American Enterprise Institute, which is right-of-center, found state workers’ wages below those of similar private workers from 2009 to 2012 and their total compensation, with pensions and retiree health, above; it says its findings should not be extended to local government employees. This page takes no position on the level of total compensation.
Other separations, which include retirement, transfer, death and disability, ran between 0.2% and 0.3% of employment a month in every year from 2001 to 2025. Both rates are published to one decimal, which hides small moves, and retirements are not counted on their own. Two other readings sit beside the quits line. In late 2025, 51% of U.S. employees across all employers were looking for or watching for a new job (Gallup); looking and leaving are different measures, and that series is charted on the Workforce Expectations page.
Retirement and succession
How it moved, and the figures behind the chart
It was 25% in 2021, and higher in each year between. In 2026, 15% said the wave was happening now and 44% still expected it ahead. The publisher rounds each share, so the four responses in the table do not always sum to 100.
Percent of state and local human resources respondents, the four published responses as rounded by the publisher, MissionSquare Research Institute
| Year | Already taken place | No significant wave | Taking place now | In the next few years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 16% | 9% | 19% | 57% |
| 2022 | 14% | 17% | 24% | 45% |
| 2023 | 15% | 17% | 16% | 53% |
| 2024 | 16% | 21% | 9% | 54% |
| 2025 | 18% | 21% | 15% | 46% |
| 2026 | 20% | 20% | 15% | 44% |
Where long-serving colleagues have retired, the people who stepped in may not yet have had the chance to learn all that those colleagues knew.
In 2026, 51% of state and local human resources leaders called succession planning very important, and 53% reported no formal succession planning process (MissionSquare Research Institute). The survey changed its question in 2025, so those are levels with their year and no trend is drawn from earlier years.
Who the survey reached, and who published it
The survey reached 606 human resources leaders, 77% of them in local government, and is not weighted. Its publisher, MissionSquare Research Institute, is the research arm of a retirement-plan provider to public employers, and ran the survey with the Public Sector HR Association and the National Association of State Personnel Executives. Its size rests on this survey alone.
Three questions only the organization can answer
No national series measures any one city or county. These three questions are for a leadership team to answer about its own.
- Which roles would be hardest to fill next year, and who is being prepared for each one now?
- When a long-serving colleague leaves, how does what they know reach the person who steps in?
- What does the organization’s succession process look like in practice, and when did the leadership team last put it to work?
Further reading
Primary sources
- Bureau of Labor Statistics: Employee Tenure in 2026
- Bureau of Labor Statistics: Employed Persons by Industry and Age, 2025
- Bureau of Labor Statistics: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, Quits
- Bureau of Labor Statistics: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, Openings
- Bureau of Labor Statistics: Employment Cost Index, State and Local Government Wages
- Bureau of Labor Statistics: Employment Cost Index, Private Industry Wages
- Bureau of Labor Statistics:
- Employer Costs for Employee Compensation, State and Local Government Benefits
- MissionSquare Research Institute: State and Local Government Workforce Survey (2026)
- Gallup: Job Seeking and the Job Market, Late 2025
- Economic Policy Institute: The Public-Sector Pay Gap Is Widening. Unions Help Shrink It. (2024)
- American Enterprise Institute: Overpaid or Underpaid? A State-by-State Ranking of Public-Employee Compensation (2014)
